Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $705,254$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{676,456.2}{1 + 10^{-0.029 (t - 124.5)}}\) (asimptote \(676,456.2\))
Start date 2020-04-03 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $18,492$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{18,065.4}{1 + 10^{-0.021 (t - 124.7)}}\) (asimptote \(18,065.4\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $51,505$ on 2020-10-19
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $7,800$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{11,874.6}{1 + 10^{-0.011 (t - 192.2)}}\) (asimptote \(11,874.6\))
Start date 2020-03-24 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $87$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{177.9}{1 + 10^{-0.009 (t - 218.3)}}\) (asimptote \(177.9\))
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,093$ on 2020-10-19
Start date 2020-03-29 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $49,949$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{64,925.6}{1 + 10^{-0.021 (t - 182.5)}}\) (asimptote \(64,925.6\))
Start date 2020-04-02 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $732$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{969.1}{1 + 10^{-0.019 (t - 176.7)}}\) (asimptote \(969.1\))
Start date 2020-03-29 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $21,955$ on 2020-10-19
Start date 2020-03-17 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $175,749$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{414,326.0}{1 + 10^{-0.013 (t - 227.4)}}\) (asimptote \(414,326.0\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $2,976$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,922.7}{1 + 10^{-0.013 (t - 211.2)}}\) (asimptote \(5,922.7\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $26,352$ on 2020-10-19
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $5,469$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,340.5}{1 + 10^{-0.029 (t - 69.1)}}\) (asimptote \(5,340.5\))
Start date 2020-04-10 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $61$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{59.9}{1 + 10^{-0.041 (t - 58.8)}}\) (asimptote \(59.9\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $29$ on 2020-10-19
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $105,547$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{101,943.6}{1 + 10^{-0.026 (t - 97.5)}}\) (asimptote \(101,943.6\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $6,130$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,896.6}{1 + 10^{-0.021 (t - 102.2)}}\) (asimptote \(5,896.6\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,103$ on 2020-10-19
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $5,070$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{5,247.7}{1 + 10^{-0.019 (t - 109.0)}}\) (asimptote \(5,247.7\))
Start date 2020-04-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $83$ on 2020-10-19
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{85.4}{1 + 10^{-0.024 (t - 74.7)}}\) (asimptote \(85.4\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $33$ on 2020-10-19
Start date 2020-03-13 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $42,727$ on 2020-10-19
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $687$ on 2020-10-19
Start date 2020-03-13 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $37,008$ on 2020-10-19